ICAIG - Institute of cybernetics, artificial intelligence and governance RU AI governance / cybernetics / public systems
ICAIG connects cybernetics, artificial intelligence and public governance to develop verifiable, safe and methodologically grounded AI practices for the public sphere.
AGI Clock
ICAIG estimate · rangeAGI here = AI that covers every domain and runs a task end-to-end on its own. The range is an expert-flavoured read of our signals — a conversation starter, not a forecast.
ICAIG forecast
Trends set to strengthen, projected from the observed flow of publications. The further the horizon, the more today's early signals show through.
Governance frameworks for AI in military decision-making are likely to become a major policy battleground in 2026–2027.
Open-weight models now match 2024 frontier performance at a fraction of the cost, democratising capable workplace agents.
Agentic biosecurity benchmarks becoming essential for frontier model safety evaluations.
Agents move from demos to delegated work inside real workflows; reliability and oversight become the bottleneck.
Governance shifts from principles to enforcement; the gap is capacity to actually inspect systems.
Prompt-based defense engineering and implicit goal auditing emerging as key mitigation directions.
Deliberate reasoning becomes default; the question shifts to cost, faithfulness and verifiable chains.
Engineering reorganizes around review of machine-written code; provenance and tests gate the loop.
World models feed robotics and planning; evaluation of their physics fidelity becomes a field.
Field map
How trends, actors and topics connect, drawn from the flow of publications. For now a visual feel of the field; deeper use cases are coming.
The public map shows a curated slice only. The internal auto-wiki remains private until editorial review. Synced: Jul 28, 2026
Focus
Feedback loops, regulators, goals, constraints and adaptation in complex public systems.
Trusted tools for analysis, forecasting, document processing and decision support.
Regulation, public decisions, digital transformation, safety and accountability.
Areas of activity
A trend-observation system: it pulls materials from strong sources, extracts themes and links, then shows which directions are gaining strength.
Research and analytical reports
Expert opinions and methodological materials
Lectures, roundtables and strategic sessions
Pilot solutions and digital expert systems