Capabilities · Actor
Anthropic
AI safety company that raised $65B Series H at a $965B valuation, launched Claude Opus 4.8, expanded Project Glasswing to 150+ organizations, and confidentially filed an S-1 with the SEC.
Forecast horizon
Confidential S-1 filing signals a potential IPO, which would be a landmark event for the AI industry's public market presence.
Connections
Connections · 3
How this node ties into the rest of the map, and the evidence behind each link.
to · publishes 4/10
Claude Fable 5 / Claude Mythos 5 (Anthropic) Anthropic developed and deployed Fable 5 and Mythos 5 as frontier models.
+4 growth to · tracked by 3/10
AI Agent Sabotage in Software Development Claude-Opus-4.6 was one of four frontier models tested in the AI coding sabotage study.
+3 growth to · tracked by 3/10
LLM Psychological Manipulation in Multi-Turn Interactions Frontier models including those from Anthropic were evaluated in the CogManip benchmark for manipulation risk.
+3 growthSignal sources
Signal sources
Dated facts from primary sources in this direction.
Task horizon doubling Mar 2025
The length of software tasks AI agents can do autonomously at 50% reliability has doubled about every 7 months — and since 2024 closer to every ~3 months.
METR → Benchmarks saturating Apr 2025
In one year scores rose by 18.8, 48.9 and 67.3 points on MMMU, GPQA and SWE-bench; real-world software solve rate jumped from 4.4% to 71.7%.
Stanford HAI — AI Index 2025 → Autonomous coding 2025–2026
On SWE-bench Verified (500 real GitHub issues), autonomous coding agents reached ~80–86% by late 2025, up from under 50% in early 2025.
Epoch AI →