Capabilities · Actor
Google DeepMind
Frontier AI lab deepening research MOU partnership with UK AISI on advanced AI risk evaluation.
Forecast horizon
Connections
Connections · 4
How this node ties into the rest of the map, and the evidence behind each link.
to · tracked by 4/10
Risks of Mass AI Agent Interactions Google DeepMind is funding research into dangers of mass AI agent interactions online.
+4 growth to · publishes 4/10
Gemma 4: Open-Weight Natively Multimodal Language Models Google DeepMind introduced Gemma 4, a new generation of open-weight natively multimodal language models.
+4 growth from · supports 3/10
UK AI Safety Institute AISI deepened its partnership with Google DeepMind through a new research MOU.
+3 growth from · frames 3/10
AI Consciousness Debates as a Policy Distraction Trap Piece cites leaders such as Demis Hassabis in arguing consciousness debates can trap policy attention.
+3 growthSignal sources
Signal sources
Dated facts from primary sources in this direction.
Task horizon doubling Mar 2025
The length of software tasks AI agents can do autonomously at 50% reliability has doubled about every 7 months — and since 2024 closer to every ~3 months.
METR → Benchmarks saturating Apr 2025
In one year scores rose by 18.8, 48.9 and 67.3 points on MMMU, GPQA and SWE-bench; real-world software solve rate jumped from 4.4% to 71.7%.
Stanford HAI — AI Index 2025 → Autonomous coding 2025–2026
On SWE-bench Verified (500 real GitHub issues), autonomous coding agents reached ~80–86% by late 2025, up from under 50% in early 2025.
Epoch AI →