Capabilities · Concept
Open-Source Multi-Agent Framework Ecosystem Health Analysis
Longitudinal analysis of 15 major open-source AI agent frameworks showing star counts are unreliable popularity signals and contributor density better reflects adoption.
Forecast horizon
Connections
Connections · 2
How this node ties into the rest of the map, and the evidence behind each link.
to · informs 3/10
AI Agents Reshaping Knowledge Work Ecosystem health analysis of open-source agent frameworks informs decisions about AI agent deployment in knowledge work.
+3 growth to · informs 2/10
Responsible Open Source and Openness in AI Analysis of open-source agent framework ecosystem health informs responsible open-source AI governance by revealing gaps between popularity and genuine adoption.
+2 growthSignal sources
Signal sources
Dated facts from primary sources in this direction.
Task horizon doubling Mar 2025
The length of software tasks AI agents can do autonomously at 50% reliability has doubled about every 7 months — and since 2024 closer to every ~3 months.
METR → Benchmarks saturating Apr 2025
In one year scores rose by 18.8, 48.9 and 67.3 points on MMMU, GPQA and SWE-bench; real-world software solve rate jumped from 4.4% to 71.7%.
Stanford HAI — AI Index 2025 → Autonomous coding 2025–2026
On SWE-bench Verified (500 real GitHub issues), autonomous coding agents reached ~80–86% by late 2025, up from under 50% in early 2025.
Epoch AI →